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Tatar will do what his boss in Ankara tells him to do with the aim of keeping the TRNC under the influence of Ankara and not of Nicosia or Athens.Geoff1131 wrote: ↑Mon 19 Oct 2020 10:40 amI am no expert on Cyprus politics, but i hope Mr Tatar can achieve what the past 3 Presidents failed to do and get a solution to the Cyprus issue, as it is way past it's time. Ex President Talat tried and at one time looked to be making ground with the Greek side, but as soon as push came to shove it all went quiet. The next one Ergulu? sorry not sure of spelling, i dont think even wanted a solution as he did not seem too keen on any talks and then we got Mr Akinci, a likeable sort of guy but again could not get the Greek side to even consider a just solution. The situation over the island cant be allowed to go on for much longer, 50 years is a long time in any dispute. Maybe knowing that the new President has the full backing of Turkey might help to focus their minds.
Akinci worked hard to try and get the two halves of the island into a federation and almost succeeded in Crans Montana. Both Akinci and Turkey made concessions which could easily have been accepted - unfortunately Anastaides threw a tantrum, insisting on zero guarantees and zero troops from day one before walking out (at least that is how I remember it being reported).
The problem for Tatar is that there is no way the RoC and Athens will ever agree to separate states because they simply want full control as they had before 1974. The EU would side with Athens and Cyprus and the third guarantor, Britain, will do precisely nothing again.
Another problem affecting the local people here is the change in the demography of the north.
We know that in 2004 the north voted for reunification. At that time the majority here were TCs but now the percentage of mainland Turks is about the same as TCs.
It is reasonable to assume that in the 2015 presidential election Akinci's votes came mainly from TCs whilst this time Tatar owes his success to mainland Turks and the influence of Erdogan.
I guess that the mainland Turks would prefer to be linked to Turkey, even though being part of a reunified Cyprus would give them EU passports!
It would be interesting to speculate that at some time soon the North Cypriots (of Turkish descent) may become a minority in their own country. It is reasonable to assume that Turkey will continue to encourage mainland Turks to settle in the TRNC (there are 8000 empty apartments in Girne at the moment).
Perhaps striking a deal on gas and oil between Turkey and Greece might be a first step in the right direction.
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I’m still trying to get my head around the business plan where you build 12 villas or apartments and sell 2 and then think “that was a triumph I’ll build some more.”
Ditto “we have a hotel that achieves 60% capacity in a good year, let’s build another.”
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As far as I can see decisions of others a long time ago have resulted in most of the integration:
1) International Postal Union - Don't recognise North Cyprus. Result: "Mersin 10, Turkey".
2) International Telecoms - Don't recognise North Cyprus. Result:"0392 area code of Turkey +90"
3) International Air transport - Dont recognise Ercan Result: "Ercan on Turkish Airlines & Pegasus flight network only".
4) Internet System. No TLD. Result: "ct.tr" subdomain on TR.
What's left to be decided? It's about time TRNC made them and ended uncertainty...